HFM information and reviews
HFM
96%
FXCC information and reviews
FXCC
92%
FxPro information and reviews
FxPro
89%
FBS information and reviews
FBS
88%
Vantage information and reviews
Vantage
85%
MultiBank Group information and reviews
MultiBank Group
84%

Yen rebounds as Ueda hints at policy shift


23 January 2024 Written by Raffi Boyadjian  XM Investment Analyst Raffi Boyadjian

The yen was the protagonist on Tuesday, coming under some selling interest after the BoJ kept its ultra-loose policy unchanged as expected and lowered its forecasts for core inflation for the fiscal year beginning in April to 2.4% from 2.8% projected in October. Nonetheless, at the press conference following the decision, Governor Ueda said that they expect the Japanese economy to pick up moving forward and that the likelihood of achieving their inflation 2% objective is gradually rising. He also added that they’ve heard encouraging comments from big firms on wage hikes, and that a policy change is possible even when there is no update to the quarterly outlook, even though they will have more data to work with in April than March.

BoJ’s Ueda brings yen to life

Ueda’s comments allowed the yen to stage a solid comeback, and take the driver’s seat among the major currencies, as investors brought forth their expectations regarding a potential interest rate hike. They are now nearly fully factoring in a hike from -0.1% to 0% in June, while ahead of Ueda’s presser, a 10bps hike was factored in for July. They are even assigning a 23% chance to the March decision.

As for the much-discussed April meeting, the first after the ‘shunto’ wage negotiations, the probability for a hike has gone from below 50% to slightly above 60%, which means that there is ample room for upside adjustment should upcoming data and speeches by BoJ officials corroborate that view. This could help the yen extend today’s recovery.

Dollar slides, stocks gain on China headlines

The US dollar was sold across the board today, perhaps on increasing risk appetite after news hit the wires that China is considering a 1trln yuan worth of fiscal stimulus and a similar sized bond stimulus in order to heal its wounded stock market. Chinese stocks rose after the report, while the aussie and the kiwi rebounded, which suggests that investors are cheering the stimulus plan. However, global money managers, who have been selling Chinese stocks after the post-pandemic recovery faded, said that it will take a long time and more stimulus to repair the property sector, which accounts for nearly a quarter of China’s GDP.

This means that today’s news may not be enough to turn the tide for Chinese equities.

Wall Street extends rally, gold rebounds

All three of Wall Street’s main indices extended their gains, with the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 hitting fresh record highs as high-growth tech firms continued to shine ahead of upcoming corporate earnings releases. Netflix is reporting results today after the closing bell, while tomorrow it will be Tesla’s turn. Apart from earnings announcements, on Thursday, Wall Street investors will also have to digest the first estimate of the US GDP data for Q4, ahead of next week’s FOMC decision.

Gold rebounded today, perhaps benefiting from the dollar’s slide. That said, with investors notably reducing their bets regarding a March Fed rate cut, it may be hard for today’s rebound to evolve into something bigger if Thursday’s GDP data and next week’s gathering prompt participants to further push back their rate cut expectations.

by XM.com

#source


RELATED

Positive sentiment lingers despite mixed newsflow

The markets continue to digest Trump’s victory and last Thursday's Fed dovish rate cut, with most market participants now speculating on the course of action of the new administration as the president-elect is assembling his cabinet.

11 Nov 2024

Dollar pauses rally ahead of Fed, BoE meets as well

After hitting a four-month high on the heels of Donald Trump's return to the White House, the dollar is pulling back today, as traders may have decided to lock some profits after the sharp rally and ahead of the Fed decision later today.

7 Nov 2024

Dollar and stocks surge on Trump victory bets

The dollar skyrocketed during the Asian session today, and it appears to be headed for its biggest one-day gain since March 2020.

6 Nov 2024

Volatility returns with a vengeance ahead of key US events

The recent, relatively quiet, market sessions were interrupted yesterday, with a strong correction recorded in both equities and gold.

1 Nov 2024

Dollar maintains gains amidst fragile market conditions

Market participants are gradually preparing for an action-packed week, with Friday’s US jobs report being the key event, that also includes some major earnings releases. Alphabet will report today, followed by Microsoft and Meta tomorrow, and Amazon and Apple on Thursday.

29 Oct 2024

Tensions remain high in equities

The next Fed meeting will be held two days after the election date and, assuming an eventless election process occurs, Chairman Powell et al will evaluate the progress made since the September aggressive rate cut.

25 Oct 2024

Demand for safe assets lingers

The US dollar continues to enjoy strong demand, outperforming its main counterparts. In particular, euro/dollar is trading at the lowest level since early August, and dollar/yen is hovering a tad below the 151 area.

22 Oct 2024

Strong US data keep the dollar in demand

The euro suffered another weak session yesterday, with the euro/dollar pair dropping below the key 200-day simple moving average and euro/pound fully erasing the recent UK CPI-induced correction.

18 Oct 2024

US dollar and stock rally continues

Both the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday.

15 Oct 2024

Dollar baffled after mixed data and Fedspeak

China might have played a key role in gold’s performance, but, at the same time, it offers little assistance to the oil rally as the market remains very pessimistic about the impact of the new set of Chinese support measures.

11 Oct 2024

Dollar stands tall after robust jobs report

Strong US data dent chances of a 50bps Fed rate cut; Plethora of Fed speakers on the wires today. Dollar enjoys strong gains, stocks rally unexpectedly. Oil pushes higher as gold's retreat continues.

7 Oct 2024

Dollar gets a boost from Fed's Powell but will the move last?

Fed's Powell talks down expectations for another 50bps rate cut. Dollar benefits, US stocks shake off the initial negative reaction.

1 Oct 2024

PCE inflation corroborates dovish Fed bets

The dollar slipped against most of its major peers after Friday’s data revealed that the headline PCE price index slowed more than expected in August.

30 Sep 2024

Equities are on autopilot but cannot help the dollar

Increased expectations for another 50bps Fed cut. Dollar continues to suffer but euro's strength is perplexing.

25 Sep 2024

Global broker Octa deploys an AI-based tool for traders to boost trade analysis

Since the first days of Artificial Intelligence’s rapid expansion into various industries, the financial sector has been one of the leading adopters of these technologies.

24 Sep 2024

Markets digest Fed decision. BoE and BoJ stand pat

Dollar tumbles on bets of more aggressive Fed rate cuts. BoE keeps rates steady, reiterating cation about future cuts.BoJ stands pat, Ueda says more rate hikes are coming. S&P 500, Dow Jones and gold hit new record highs.

20 Sep 2024

Fed goes big with first rate cut

Fed lowers interest rates by 50bps. New dot plot signals another 50bps cuts by December. Wall Street closes in the red, futures point to higher open. BoE and BoJ take the central bank torch.

19 Sep 2024

Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected. US retail sales today could prolong dollar's weakness. Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report. Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop.

17 Sep 2024

Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot. Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024. Another assassination attempt against Trump. Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high.

16 Sep 2024

Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI. Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation. US presidential debate dominates headlines. Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally.

11 Sep 2024


Editors' Picks

Regulation Matters: Why a Licensed Forex Broker Should Be Your Top Priority

Choosing a regulated broker is not just a matter of preference; it is a necessity for safeguarding your investments and ensuring that you trade in a fair and secure environment.

Automating Success: The Benefits and Risks of Using Forex Expert Advisors

This article explores the benefits and risks associated with using Forex Expert Advisors, providing insights into how traders can maximize their potential while mitigating potential downsides.

Best Forex Brokers 2024

By prioritizing factors such as overall rating, regulatory compliance, trading conditions and platform reliability traders can make an informed decision that aligns with their trading needs and aspirations, setting the stage for a potentially prosperous trading journey.

The Top Forex Expert Advisors 2024: Performance, Strategy, and Reliability Review

An annual roundup reviewing the most successful Forex Expert Advisors (EAs) based on their performance, strategies employed, reliability, and user feedback. This piece would provide insights into which EAs have been market leaders and why.

The Evolution of Forex Expert Advisors: Navigating the Path of Technological Revolution

The concept of automated trading has been around for decades, but the accessibility and sophistication of Forex EAs have seen significant advancements in the past few years. Initially, automated trading systems were rudimentary, focusing on simple indicators like moving averages.

Best Forex EAs 2024 – Forex Expert Advisors Rating

Expert Advisors (EAs) Rating features high-quality Free and paid Forex EA most popular on the market today.

XM information and reviews
XM
82%
FP Markets information and reviews
FP Markets
81%
FXTM information and reviews
FXTM
80%
AMarkets information and reviews
AMarkets
79%
Octa information and reviews
Octa
79%
BlackBull information and reviews
BlackBull
78%

© 2006-2024 Forex-Ratings.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information.
Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website (reviews, brokers' news, comments, analysis, quotes, forecasts or other information materials provided by Forex Ratings, as well as information provided by the partners), including graphical information about the forex companies, brokers and dealing desks, is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Forex Ratings shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about the forex companies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the commentators. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.
We use cookies to improve your experience and to make your stay with us more comfortable. By using Forex-Ratings.com website you agree to the cookies policy.